Student Loan Debt Forgiveness

What is the size of student loan debt?

The total estimated student debt today in the United States is estimated at $1.7 trillion as of 2022. The average individual borrower has approximately $30,000 in student loan debt, and approximately 48 million Americans have federal student loan debt. As the chart below shows, the bulk of the debt is owned by people between 25 and 49 years old.  

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Why is student loan debt so large?

Today, college student debt is the second highest source of debt, surpassed only by home mortgages. Why? First, more young people are choosing to go to college today than in the past. In 1980, 49.3% of high school graduates enrolled in college or university enrollment. By 2021, the percentage has increased to 61.8%.  

The other factor is the cost of attending college. The figures below uses data collected by the College Board (and reprinted in a Brookings Institution publication) to show that while the sticker cost of both private and public universities have changed, the net cost (average cost paid by students after university scholarships, financial aid, and grants) has not changed substantially over the last two decades. (The figure’s data controls for inflation, with costs expressed in 2020 dollars – unadjusted costs have increased because of inflation.)

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A second factor contributing to the cost of attending college is that federal grants have remained largely unchanged during the last decade and that financial aid is increasingly directed to low-income students. The result of all of these factors is a greater demand for student loans to finance college education.

Who makes student loans?

Student loans come from two sources: loans issued by the federal government, and loans issued by private loan companies. Currently, the vast majority of student loans (92%) are those issued by the government, in part because they offer a lower interest rate to borrowers and do not charge interest until graduation. Private lenders are typically banks, credit unions or other lending institutions.

What proposals exist for student loan forgiveness?

One way to address student debt is through debt relief, either universal relief or a plan that targets certain borrowers. Full debt forgiveness would cost the same amount as borrowers owe today – approximately $1.6 trillion.

Debt forgiveness has both pros and cons. Particularly during the COVID pandemic, loan forgiveness was seen as a method for stimulating the economy. A targeted plan could reward graduates for working in public service (for example, as teachers or nurses) or in distressed communities. The federal government sometimes forgives other debts, such as business loans made during a national emergency.

On the other hand, forgiving student loan debt would significantly increase the national debt. Forgiveness would also benefit individuals who have no trouble paying back their student loans. And finally, proposals for debt forgiveness raise a fairness issue, in that the government is compensating college graduates without providing equivalent compensation to people who did not attend college or who paid loans back without assistance. None of the proposals being discussed in Washington address any of these issues.

Early in 2021, one proposal would forgive “$10,000 of debt for individuals earning less than $125,000 income (and $250,000 income for a married couple) in the 2020 or 2021 tax years, and $20,000 for recipients of Pell grants” (federal grants to pay for college). This proposal would cost approximately $373 billion. While this plan would lower overall debt levels and relieve about 30% of borrowers from any future payments, it would not address ongoing debt accumulation. This proposal was later held to be unconstitutional by the Supreme Court.

In addition, the current administration has implemented existing policies to forgive $127 billion in loans for some groups of borrowers, as shown in the table below.  

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